Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 20

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Portadown		Ards

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.42	4.54	5.2
	1.43	4.54	5.2
	1.4	4.4	5
	1.41	4.7	5.55
	1.43	4.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.56 ↑ (4.5)	5.31 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
63.4%

Draw
19.7%

Ards
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

20.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Portadown - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portadown won 2.

Portadown is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ards is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portadown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Portadown is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Portadown won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Portadown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish League Cup
05.12.23	Portadown - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
02.12.23	Dundela - Portadown	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Portadown - Newington	5:1 ✺
18.11.23	Bangor - Portadown	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Portadown - Dergview	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWTW
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
09.12.23	Ards - Ballinamallard United	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Newington - Ards	4:1 ✺
28.11.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Ards - Dundela	4:0 ✺
18.11.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
30.09.23	Ards - Portadown	1:2
Club Friendly
19.09.20	Portadown - Ards	1:2
Northern Irish Championship
30.08.19	Ards - Portadown	2:4
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Ards - Portadown	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
18.04.17	Ards - Portadown	3:2
11.02.17	Portadown - Ards	0:3
29.10.16	Portadown - Ards	3:1

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