Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Portimonense		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.15
	3.05	3.3	2.2
	3.15	3.18	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.14	3.28	2.22	Watch
	3.2	3.33	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.93)	3.22 ↓ (3.37)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
29.9%

Draw
28.5%

Felgueiras
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.3%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Portimonense - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 2. Abel A. 15. Xavier 73. Junior M. 17. Joao Reis (C) 37. Mateus Sarara 47. Cagro W. 31. Edney 21. Dauda M. 18. Mamede 93. Welinton Junior	25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 61. Eiro 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 18. Gabi 6. Martins H. 8. Landinho (C) 78. Moreira V. 7. Rivas M. 20. Berna
Substitutes
90. Canario F. 66. Canji A. 22. De Bolle L. 7. Djassi D. 19. Dju M. 9. Monteiro T. 6. Neves S. 16. Thauan Lara 65. Wellington Santana (G)	45. Aidara M. 77. Beni 17. Cruz F. 1. Didi (G) 30. Feliz 79. Leite T. 19. Lucas Duarte 10. Michel Costa 3. Pinto J.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Bento A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Xavier 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Welinton Junior ↓, Djassi D. ↑,
54', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
56', Berna 🟨,
66', Rivas M. ↓, Leite T. ↑,
66', Landinho ↓, Lucas Duarte ↑,
67', Dauda M. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
81', Moreira V. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
85', Eiro ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
90+1', Martins H. 🟨,
90+2', Mamede ↓, Canario F. ↑,
90+4', Djassi D. 🟨,
90+6', Leite T. 🟨,
90+6', Silva A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 9).

Portimonense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Felgueiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Felgueiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Portimonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.26	Farense - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Chaves - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Portimonense - Leixões	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Lusitânia - Portimonense	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Portimonense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLLL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.26	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Felgueiras - Porto B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Leiria - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Felgueiras - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.01.25	Portimonense - Felgueiras	3:2
12.08.24	Felgueiras - Portimonense	0:0

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