Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Portimonense		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.52	3.32	3.05
	2.52	3.32	3.04
	2.38	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.34	2.89	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.99)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	2.91 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
38.5%

Draw
28.9%

Famalicão
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Famalicão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Famalicão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Portimonense - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Famalicão will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 43. Tornich 44. Pedrao 22. Relvas F. 27. Oliveira G. M. 11. Carlinhos (C) 13. Dener 18. Costa G. 77. Varela H. 19. Carrillo R. 7. Jasper S.	31. Junior Reis (G) 22. Nathan 16. De Haas J. 13. Otavio 74. Moura F. 8. Topic M. 12. Assuncao G. A. (C) 10. Chiquinho 20. Sa G. 95. Fonseca T. 29. Cadiz J.
Substitutes
20. Estrela P. 30. Kim Yong-Hak 28. Luan 25. Lucas Ventura 32. Nakamura K. (G) 9. Paulinho 37. Rildo 14. Seck M. 99. Zinho	32. Aguirregabiria M. 11. Aranda O. 9. Araujo H. 23. Dobre A. 6. Lacoux T. 18. Liimatta O. 4. Mihaj E. 77. Pablo 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Sousa J. P.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Portimonense: Cassama M. (Red Card)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
02.12.23	Casa Pia - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Portimonense - Braga	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Portimonense - Chaves	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Braga - Portimonense	6:1 ✺
28.10.23	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
02.12.23	Famalicão - Porto	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Benfica - Famalicão	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Camacha - Famalicão	0:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Vizela - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Famalicão - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.02.23	Famalicão - Portimonense	1:0
04.09.22	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:0
10.04.22	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:0
Taça de Portugal
21.12.21	Famalicão - Portimonense	1:2 penalties
Liga Portugal
27.11.21	Famalicão - Portimonense	0:3
18.04.21	Famalicão - Portimonense	0:1
18.12.20	Portimonense - Famalicão	0:0

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