Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Casa Pia		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.48	4.1
	1.94	3.48	4.11
	1.85	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.54	4.05	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	3.88 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
48.6%

Draw
27.2%

Portimonense
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

Casa Pia - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Portimonense will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batista R. (G) 15. Varela F. 19. Zolotic N. 13. Fernandes V. (C) 72. Larrazabal G. 96. Justo S. 80. Pablo Roberto 5. Lelo L. 11. Soma Y. 99. Clayton 77. Tiago Dias	12. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 44. Pedrao (C) 43. Tornich 22. Relvas F. 27. Oliveira G. M. 25. Lucas Ventura 13. Dener 18. Costa G. 7. Jasper S. 19. Carrillo R. 77. Varela H.
Substitutes
16. Beni 30. Felippe 23. Fernando Andrade 18. Geraldes A. 79. Jaja 68. Lucas Paes (G) 3. Nunes J. 22. Serobyan A. 2. Tchamba D.	71. Adeniran D. 76. Alcobia R. 85. Cassama M. 20. Estrela P. 28. Luan 32. Nakamura K. (G) 37. Rildo 14. Seck M. 99. Zinho
Coaches
Moreira P.	Paulo Sergio

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 10).

Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Portimonense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Casa Pia have a series of guest games.

In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.

There will not play in Casa Pia: Brito R. (Injury) Kiki (Injury)

There will not play in Portimonense: Nakamura K. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Nacional - Casa Pia	1:0 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
10.11.23	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	4:0 ✺
05.11.23	Casa Pia - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
01.11.23	Braga - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.10.23	Benfica - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LLLTT
- Portimonense SC
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Portimonense - Braga	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Portimonense - Chaves	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Braga - Portimonense	6:1 ✺
28.10.23	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.23	Covilhã - Portimonense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.05.23	Casa Pia - Portimonense	1:1
28.12.22	Portimonense - Casa Pia	1:2

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