Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 27

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Portimonense		Braga

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.43
	7	4.75	1.42	Watch
	7.68	4.84	1.44
	7.78	4.87	1.42
				Watch
	6.8	4.85	1.43	Watch
	7	4.7	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (6.49)	4.73 ↑ (4.58)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
13.3%

Draw
20.2%

Braga
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

20.7%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

20.3%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.5%	5%	87.5%

Portimonense - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Nakamura K. (G) 44. Pedrao (C) 43. Tornich 22. Relvas F. 27. Guga 13. Dener 20. Estrela P. 25. Lucas Ventura 14. Seck M. 77. Varela H. 85. Cassama M.	1. Matheus (G) 2. Gomez V. 5. Saatci S. 4. Niakate S. 17. Mendes J. 11. Fernandes R. 16. Zalazar R. 28. Moutinho J. 7. Bruma 9. Ruiz A. (C) 23. Banza S.
Substitutes
19. Carrillo R. 18. Costa G. 8. Fukui T. 33. Igor Formiga 70. Martins R. 5. Mvoue S. 10. Pereira H. 4. Thiago Dombroski 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)	14. Djalo A. 6. Fonte J. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 62. Matos N. 10. Ndour C. 22. Pizzi 20. Rony Lopes 12. Sa T. (G) 18. Vitor Carvalho
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Bruma ⚽, Fernandes R. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Pedrao (Pen),
30', 1 - 2, Fernandes R. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
38', Gomez V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 1 - 3, Banza S. ⚽, Ruiz A. (A),
61', 1 - 4, Banza S. (Pen),
62', Dener ↓, Fukui T. ↑,
62', Cassama M. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
62', Relvas F. ↓, Martins R. ↑,
69', 1 - 5, Bruma ⚽, Fernandes R. (A),
70', Fernandes R. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
70', Zalazar R. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
71', 2 - 5, Pereira H. ⚽, Fukui T. (A),
78', Ruiz A. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
78', Gomez V. ↓, Matos N. ↑,
79', Estrela P. ↓, Mvoue S. ↑,
84', Seck M. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
86', 3 - 5, Fukui T. ⚽, Varela H. (A),
89', Bruma ↓, Rony Lopes ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1.

Portimonense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Braga is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Braga is indisputable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 15-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
15.03.24	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Portimonense - Porto	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Portimonense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Benfica - Portimonense	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLT
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
16.03.24	Braga - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Rio Ave - Braga	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Braga - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
26.02.24	Boavista - Braga	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Braga	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Portimonense - Braga	1:4
Liga Portugal
04.11.23	Braga - Portimonense	6:1
29.04.23	Braga - Portimonense	4:1
13.11.22	Portimonense - Braga	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Portimonense - Braga	2:0
Liga Portugal
20.03.22	Portimonense - Braga	1:2
01.11.21	Braga - Portimonense	3:0

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