The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portimonense 38.7%
Draw 28.4%
Porto B 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
27.4%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
28.2%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Portimonense - Porto B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Cibois S. (G) 31. Edney 37. Mateus Sarara 32. Jarleysom 73. Junior M. 17. Joao Reis 18. Mamede 15. Xavier 47. Cagro W. 8. Lobato S. 21. Dauda M.
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 73. Bras G. 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 92. Teixeira J. 88. Andrade D. 56. Kaue Rodrigues 49. Sousa G. 79. Vonic L. 59. Andrade T.
Substitutes
90. Canario F. 22. De Bolle L. 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 6. Neves S. 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 16. Thauan Lara
65. Brito J. 57. Cunha D. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 53. Ferreira E. 64. Gomes L. 66. Lima B. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 54. Ribeiro A.
Coaches
Fernandes T.
Brandao J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Vonic L. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Joao Reis ⚽, Lobato S. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Cibois S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Mamede 🟨,
63', Henrique Kaio 🟨,
64', Lobato S. 🟨,
64', Felipe Silva 🟨,
67', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Lima B. ↑,
67', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
71', Junior M. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
71', Dauda M. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
80', Andrade T. ↓, Cunha D. ↑,
80', Sousa G. ↓, Mide M. ↑,
80', Cagro W. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
85', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
87', Mide M. 🟨,
88', Lima B. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Mateus Sarara ⚽, Thauan Lara (A),
90+4', Lobato S. ↓, Neves S. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1.
Portimonense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Porto B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Porto B will win today's game, with odds of 2.86.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Portugal
Watch
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Cibois S. (G) 
Edney 
Junior M. 
Cagro W. 
Dauda M. 
Andrade D. 
Vonic L. 
De Bolle L. 
Kait K. 
Melnichenko T. 
