The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Hearts of Pine 38.6%
Draw 25.8%
Sarasota Paradise 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
27.1%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
27.3%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Hearts of Pine's form might have worsened.
Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarasota Paradise's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Hearts of Pine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarasota Paradise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portland Hearts of Pine - Sarasota Paradise Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 2. Jones-Riley J. 44. Faye S. 22. Evans B. 26. Hata E. 11. Kamara J. 7. Varela W. 4. Letayf D. 98. Kidd M. (C) 9. Camara A. 16. Gonzalez D.
1. Sutton A. (G) 24. Kiingi K. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 46. Roed S. 16. Rodriguez A. 7. Bryant E. 17. Bolanos J. 28. Gall R.
Substitutes
99. Drack J. 24. Felipe 21. Georgallides K. 66. Green K. 35. Huck T. 5. Lopez M. 23. Oladapo K. (G)
23. Amedeka R. (G) 50. Brulinski D. 2. Burlew R. 53. Elovaara E. 19. McLaughlin G. 27. O'Dwyer C. 61. Spengler J. 32. Terzaghi E. 3. Valentine R.
Coaches
Murphy B.
Elovaara M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Kiingi K. ⚽, Rosa A. (A),
6', Faye S. 🟨,
7', 0 - 2, Roed S. ⚽, Rosa A. (A),
19', 1 - 2, Kamara J. ⚽,
24', Watters D. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
40', Gall R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 3, Roed S. ⚽, Bolanos J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jones-Riley J. ↓, Drack J. ↑,
49', Rosa A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 4, Gall R. ⚽, Bolanos J. (A),
64', Letayf D. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
65', Varela W. ↓, Felipe ↑,
69', Bryant E. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
69', Gall R. ↓, Brulinski D. ↑,
70', Felipe 🟨,
72', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
76', Gonzalez D. ↓, Georgallides K. ↑,
76', Kidd M. ↓, Green K. ↑,
90+1', Faye S. 🟨,
90+2', Roed S. ↓, Spengler J. ↑,
90+2', Bolanos J. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
90+3', Evans B. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 11th).
Hearts of Pine has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sarasota Paradise shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hearts of Pine has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Brazil
North-central-america
Usa
Watch
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Morse H. (G) 
Faye S. 
Hata E. 
Kamara J. 
Varela W. 
Letayf D. 
Camara A. 
Sogaard A. 
Rosa A. 
Roed S. 
Felipe 
Georgallides K. 
Green K. 
Huck T. 
Amedeka R. (G) 
Elovaara M. 
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