Match Info

USL League One

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Premier Sports Campus (Lakewood Ranch, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sarasota Paradise		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.25
	2.98	3.4	2.08
	2.97	3.72	2.06
	2.73	3.76	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	2.99	3.52	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarasota Paradise
31.6%

Draw
25.8%

Union Omaha
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

26.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Amedeka R. (G) 18. Krueger B. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 16. Rodriguez A. 27. O'Dwyer C. 8. Walker A. 17. Bolanos J. 11. Karani S. 3. Valentine R.	99. Jensen C. (G) 19. Lawrence C. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 27. Jiba R. 16. Wootton L. 8. Gabriel Cabral 77. Gavilanes A. 21. Gomez A. 20. Ors Navarro S. 9. Botello Faz P.
Substitutes
7. Bryant E. 2. Burlew R. 51. Kend A. 19. McLaughlin G. 14. Pettersen J. 46. Roed S. 52. Sanchez K. 1. Sutton A. (G) 32. Terzaghi E.	23. Boudadi Y. 28. Caceres E. 17. Gutierrez D. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 5. Orson J. 22. Tekiela K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Sogaard A. 🟨,
37', Ors Navarro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Roed S. ↑,
46', Karani S. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Terzaghi E. ⚽, Roed S. (A),
56', Lawrence C. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
59', Gomez A. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
67', Valentine R. 🟨,
68', Krueger B. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
70', Terzaghi E. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Rosa A. ⚽, Terzaghi E. (A),
77', Botello Faz P. 🟨,
79', Wootton L. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
85', Bolanos J. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
89', O'Dwyer C. ↓, Pettersen J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Sarasota Paradise has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Union Omaha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Sarasota Paradise has had a series of away games.

Union Omaha might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
10.06.26	AV Alta - Sarasota Paradise	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Boise - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWWL
- Union Omaha
USL League One
10.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Union Omaha - Fort Wayne	4:2 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Union Omaha - Naples	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	New York Cosmos - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

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