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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 38.2%
Draw 26%
St. Louis City 2 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
26.4%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
26.6%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+3%)
Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 16. Jura S. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 81. Mueller H. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 39. Griffith C. 63. Nunez D. 37. Santos N. 47. Cervantes D.
50. Martinez N. (G) 57. Jorgensen O. 66. Lillington Z. 3. Reid-Brown T. 33. Pearce T. 63. Clancy T. 44. Wagoner J. (C) 48. Lynch R. 88. McDonald P. 80. McSorley B. 91. Zengue Z.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 53. Ferguson C. 73. Izoita E. 90. Kissel M. 51. Nelson M. (G) 49. Nystrom A. 57. VanVoorhis B. 48. Zendejas N.
79. Chavez E. 83. Cornelius L. 98. De Gannes A. 26. Forcellini C. 82. Francis P. (G) 68. Jundt A. 43. Paris S. 41. Pearson C. 49. Pickering N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Lillington Z. 🟨,
28', Bamford A. 🟨,
30', Griffith C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', McSorley B. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
60', Nunez D. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Lillington Z. ⚽, Zengue Z. (A),
64', McDonald P. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
66', Jura S. 🟨,
70', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
70', Santos N. ↓, VanVoorhis B. ↑,
75', Clancy T. ↓, Forcellini C. ↑,
75', Mueller H. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
75', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Izoita E. ↑,
76', Forcellini C. 🟨,
90+1', Lynch R. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Jura S. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Lund N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lillington Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Barjolo B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pickering N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kissel M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zengue Z. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Izoita E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Forcellini C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Enriquez V. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Reid-Brown T. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Jura S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Wagoner J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Portland 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 2.
Portland 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, St. Louis City 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.9:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).
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Joseph S. (G) 
Bamford A. 
Lund N. 
Griffith C. 
Nunez D. 
De Gannes A. 
Paris S. 
Pearson C. 
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