Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Porto		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	7
	1.49	4.33	6.5
	1.49	4.5	7	Watch
	1.5	4.55	7
	1.51	4.48	6.95
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.49	4.45	6.75
	1.5	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	4.43 ↓ (4.52)	6.88 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
64.5%

Draw
21.6%

Shakhtar Donetsk
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.9%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	8.2%	9.6%

Porto - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (60 of 73 users predict this - 82.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.41% – 90.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (G) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Pepe (C) 2. Cardoso F. 12. Zaidu 11. Pepê 22. Varela A. 6. Eustaquio S. 13. Galeno 9. Taremi M. 30. Evanilson	31. Riznyk D. (G) 13. Gocholeishvili G. 5. Bondar V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 22. Matviienko M. 11. Zubkov O. 21. Bondarenko A. 6. Stepanenko T. (C) 10. Sudakov G. 8. Kryskiv D. 14. Sikan D.
Substitutes
70. Borges G. 4. Carmo D. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 10. Conceicao F. 19. Danny Namaso 87. Folha B. 20. Franco A. 8. Grujic M. 17. Ivan Jaime 23. Joao Mario 21. Navarro F. 18. Wendell	16. Azarovi I. 4. Castillo D. 7. Eguinaldo 18. Kelsy K. 32. Kozik E. 3. Lemkin S. 25. Miroshi N. 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 23. Pedrinho 1. Rudko A. (G) 9. Shved M.
Coaches
Conceicao S.	Pusic M.

Preview

Recent matches Porto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shakhtar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.

In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Gabriel Veron (Thigh Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Chygrynskiy D. (Injury) Konoplya Y. (Thigh Injury) Traore L. (Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Joao Mario (Thigh Injury) Wendell (Calf Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Porto won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
09.12.23	Porto - Casa Pia	3:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
06.12.23	Estoril Praia - Porto	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.12.23	Famalicão - Porto	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Barcelona - Porto	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.11.23	Porto - Montalegre	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
08.12.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Porto	1:3
10.12.14	Porto - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1
30.09.14	Shakhtar Donetsk - Porto	2:2

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