Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Sport 1
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
International	Triller TV+


	Porto		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.21	6.25	13
	1.21	5.9	12.5	Watch
	1.22	6.35	15.73
	1.22	5.79	13.98	Watch
	1.22	5.8	12	Watch
	1.23	6.15	13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.21)	6.03 ↓ (6.13)	13.32 ↓ (14.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
77.3%

Draw
15.6%

Casa Pia
7.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.1%

15.4%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Porto - Casa Pia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 18. Perez N. 12. Zaidu 22. Varela A. 7. William Gomes 10. Veiga G. 8. Froholdt V. 17. Sainz B. 26. de Jong L.	1. Sequeira P. (G) 4. Goulart J. 6. Fonte J. (C) 2. Tchamba D. 72. Larrazabal G. 24. Mohamed I. 74. Nhaga R. 12. Benaissa-Yahia F. 29. Livolant J. 90. Cassiano 13. Osundina K.
Substitutes
87. Caicedo B. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 86. Mora R. 74. Moura F. 3. Pedro J. 21. Prpic D. 15. Sousa V.	22. Azevedo D. (G) 8. Brito R. 18. Geraldes A. 27. Kaique Rocha 14. Miguel Sousa 21. Morais T. 42. Perez S. 19. Prieto K. 9. Svensson M.
Coaches
Farioli F.	Santana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Sainz B. ⚽, Froholdt V. (A),
25', 2 - 0, William Gomes ⚽, Costa A. (A),
28', William Gomes 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Perez N. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zaidu ↓, Moura F. ↑,
46', Cassiano ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
46', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
51', Froholdt V. 🟨,
58', Osundina K. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
58', Froholdt V. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
58', William Gomes ↓, Mora R. ↑,
65', Bednarek J. 🟨,
67', 4 - 0, Sainz B. ⚽,
74', Bednarek J. ↓, Prpic D. ↑,
74', Costa A. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
75', Nhaga R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
75', Livolant J. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
90', Perez S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 5.

Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury)

There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Samu (Injury)

There are questionable in Casa Pia: Blanco R. (Leg Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Porto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
18.08.25	Gil Vicente - Porto	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Porto - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Porto - Twente	2:1 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
23.06.25	Porto - Al Ahly Cairo	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT
- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
15.08.25	AVS - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Famalicão - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Casa Pia - Braga	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Arouca - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
12.04.25	Casa Pia - Porto	0:1
02.12.24	Porto - Casa Pia	2:0
21.04.24	Casa Pia - Porto	1:2
09.12.23	Porto - Casa Pia	3:1
14.05.23	Porto - Casa Pia	2:1
07.01.23	Casa Pia - Porto	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
05.12.19	Casa Pia - Porto	0:3

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