Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Estoril Praia		Porto

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.39	Watch
	6.9	4.95	1.39	Watch
	7.67	5.19	1.42
	7.26	5.12	1.4	Watch
	7	4.75	1.36	Watch
	7.02	5.14	1.44	Watch
	7.6	4.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.14 ↓ (7.8)	4.94 ↑ (4.86)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
13.3%

Draw
19.1%

Porto
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

19.9%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

19.1%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Estoril Praia - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 5. Tsoungui A. 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 6. Jandro 8. Xeka 10. Holsgrove J. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 14. Begraoui Y. 19. Lacximicant A.	99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 12. Zaidu 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 11. Pepê 27. Gul D. 77. Pietuszewski O.
Substitutes
22. Carvalho P. 4. Ferro 97. Gomes L. 99. Guitane R. 7. Lominadze N. 9. Marques A. 70. Peixinho 21. Pizzi 16. Turk M. (G)	14. Claudio Ramos (G) 42. Fofana S. 29. Moffi T. 86. Mora R. 74. Moura F. 21. Prpic D. 13. Rosario P. 17. Sainz B. 3. Thiago Silva
Coaches
Cathro I.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Pepê ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
30', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Xeka (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Carvalho J. 🟨,
51', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
60', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
63', Xeka ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
70', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
70', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
70', Zaidu ↓, Moura F. ↑,
71', Amaral P. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
71', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Froholdt V. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
77', Holsgrove J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
77', Jandro ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Pizzi (A),
82', Sanchez R. 🟨,
83', Pepê ↓, Fofana S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.

Estoril is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Porto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.

In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Estoril: Boma K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Samu (Knee Injury) William Gomes (Yellow Cards) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Carvalho J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	20:4	16	24
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Porto - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 67.68%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
06.04.26	Arouca - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Nacional - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWTL
- FC Porto
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Porto - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.04.26	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Braga - Porto	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Porto - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
15.03.26	Porto - Moreirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.11.25	Porto - Estoril Praia	1:0
30.03.25	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:2
03.11.24	Porto - Estoril Praia	4:0
30.03.24	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:0
Taça de Portugal
09.01.24	Estoril Praia - Porto	0:4
Portuguese League Cup
06.12.23	Estoril Praia - Porto	3:1
Liga Portugal
03.11.23	Porto - Estoril Praia	0:1

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