Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Porto B		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	2.9	3.1	2.37
	2.75	3.05	2.48
	3.1	3.05	2.27
	3.3	3.26	2.36
	3	3	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.34)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	2.33 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
30.5%

Draw
29.9%

Casa Pia
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

21.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto B's form might have worsened.

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casa Pia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casa Pia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Porto B - Casa Pia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Porto B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Casa Pia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Casa Pia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
10.01.22	Benfica B - Porto B	1:2 ✺
23.12.21	Porto B - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
19.12.21	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Vilafranquense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
04.12.21	Porto B - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
15.01.22	Casa Pia - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:0 ✺
03.01.22	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.12.21	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.12.21	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.08.21	Casa Pia - Porto B	2:0
08.03.21	Porto B - Casa Pia	1:1
17.10.20	Casa Pia - Porto B	2:1
16.02.20	Casa Pia - Porto B	1:3
31.08.19	Porto B - Casa Pia	0:0

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