Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Estoril Praia		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	9.5
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.35	3.85	8.5
	1.38	4.1	8.2
	1.38	4.42	11.52
	1.38	4.2	9.5
	1.38	4.33	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.16 ↑ (3.99)	9 ↓ (9.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
67.4%

Draw
22.3%

Vilafranquense
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

23.2%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.8%

19.6%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Estoril Praia - Vilafranquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga and 15).

Estoril in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilafranquense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estoril is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estoril to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
03.04.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
26.03.21	Estoril Praia - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
20.03.21	Cova De Piedade - Estoril Praia	2:3 ✺
14.03.21	Estoril Praia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
09.03.21	Feirense - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
04.04.21	Vilafranquense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	Académica Coimbra - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
23.03.21	Vilafranquense - Chaves	0:1 ✺
18.03.21	Vilafranquense - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Casa Pia - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Vilafranquense - Estoril Praia	0:1
01.03.20	Estoril Praia - Vilafranquense	2:0
22.09.19	Vilafranquense - Estoril Praia	1:4

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