Match Info

Baiano - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos (Porto Seguro)


	Porto SC		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.05	2.72
	2.45	3.06	2.79
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.4	2.97	2.78
	2.6	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.03)	3 ↓ (3.01)	2.75 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto SC
36.6%

Draw
30.3%

Vitória Salvador
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto SC's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Porto SC - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vitória (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Cabral (G) 3. Anderson Bandeira 7. Bruno Ferreira 9. Diki 4. Everton Dias 2. Gabriel Saulo 11. Italo 10. Luan Rodrigues (C) 8. Pedro Lima 6. Peu 5. Ygor	1. Yuri (G) 2. de Jesus Soares G. 4. Diogo Antonio 8. Dudu Miraima (C) 3. Edenilson 6. Felipe Vieira 23. Ivan 19. Kike Saverio 9. Lawan 10. Pablo 5. Ze Breno
Substitutes
18. Adriano Napao 22. Arthur 14. Breno Cezar 15. Caio 21. Cesinha 17. Diogo 12. Guilherme (G) 19. Gustavo Kawa 25. Kauan Jesus 16. Leo Gomes 13. Taison 20. Vini	20. Almaraz A. 12. Ezequiel 16. Farlas C. 11. Felipe Cardoso 13. Jamerson 15. Kauan Vitor 21. Lucas Lohan 18. Luis Aucelio 7. Luis Miguel 22. Oliveira da Silva F. E. 14. Paulo Roberto 17. Wendell Santos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Pablo 🟨,
25', Diogo Antonio 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽,
39', Pablo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Peu 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Italo ⚽,
76', Felipe Vieira ↓, Wendell Santos ↑,
76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Lohan ↑,
80', Peu ↓, Caio ↑,
80', Bruno Ferreira ↓, Breno Cezar ↑,
81', Italo ↓, Gustavo Kawa ↑,
85', Ze Breno ↓, Luis Aucelio ↑,
86', Diki 🟨,
88', Ygor ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
90+5', Leo Gomes 🟨,

Preview

Vitória has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vitória might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto SC Porto Seguro
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
15.01.26	Jequié - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Porto SC - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Jacuipense - Porto SC	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Vitória Salvador - Porto SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
13.01.26	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.25	Vitória Salvador - Porto SC	2:1

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