Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portsmouth		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.95
	2.37	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.44	3.33	3.25
	2.4	3.21	3.09	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.2
	2.47	3.29	3.1	Watch
	2.33	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
40.1%

Draw
29.4%

Queens Park Rangers
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 22. Swanson Z. 19. Shein R. R. 38. Adams E. 11. Kamara A. 10. Segecic A. 28. Brooke-Smith L. 9. Bishop C. (C)	1. Charles P. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 6. Clarke-Salter J. 12. Kemper B. 20. Vale H. 5. Edwards R. 17. Poku K. 10. Chair I. 14. Saito K. 16. Burrell R.
Substitutes
2. Arthur B. 27. Bailey O. 31. Bielica D. (G) 55. Dia M. 25. Kavuma McQueen R. 16. Le Roux L. 29. Marezi 23. Murphy J. 8. Swift J.	2. Adamson K. 23. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 18. Kamara G. 22. Kone R. 15. Lloyd A. 4. Morrison L. 11. Smyth P. 40. Varane J. 13. Ward C. (G)
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 1 - 0, Devlin T. ⚽, Adams E. (A),
20', Kemper B. ↓, Adamson K. ↑,
25', Edwards R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Chair I. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Saito K. ⚽, Chair I. (A),
45+2', 1 - 3, Chair I. ⚽, Mbengue A. S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brooke-Smith L. ↓, Kavuma McQueen R. ↑,
58', Saito K. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
58', Poku K. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
65', Kamara A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
72', Swanson Z. ↓, Arthur B. ↑,
72', Poole R. ↓, Marezi ↑,
74', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
74', Burrell R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
83', Adams E. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 3.

Portsmouth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

QPR is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Anderson K. (Injury) Bursik J. (Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Dembele K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Obikwu J. (Shin Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

QPR: 1.02% Portsmouth: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	3	14
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.48%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Cup
08.08.26	West Ham United - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Farnborough - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Cup
08.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Queens Park Rangers	2:3 ✺
31.07.26	Bromley - Queens Park Rangers	0:7 ✺
25.07.26	Queens Park Rangers - Fiorentina	3:2 ✺
21.07.26	Queens Park Rangers - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	6:1
26.12.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:1
22.02.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
19.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	1:2
English League Cup
28.08.19	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	0:2
English FA Cup
05.02.19	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	2:0
26.01.19	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:1

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