The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portugalete 69%
Draw 20.9%
Alavés C 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
22.6%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
21.6%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugalete that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+3%)
Portugalete - Alavés C Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Gomez X. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Portugalete have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alavés C is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Portugalete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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