The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa 20.1%
Draw 29.4%
Corinthians 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.8%
30.3%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
30.1%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Portuguesa - Corinthians Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique (C) 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele 29. Allan 49. Andre 7. Breno Bidon 56. Gui Negao 10. Depay M.
Substitutes
39. Carlos Eduardo 11. Cauari 27. Denis 33. Eric Botteghin 6. Gustavo Salomao 42. Gustavo Sciencia 5. Hudson 13. Igor Torres 12. Joao Paulo (G) 14. Marcelo Freitas 9. Matheus Cadorini 25. Matheus Cecchini
26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 3. Gabriel Paulista 8. Garro R. 4. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Fabio Matias
Dorival Junior
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Rene (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,
42', Caio Roque 🟨,
45+2', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caio Roque ↓, Gustavo Salomao ↑,
46', Raniele ↓, Garro R. ↑,
54', Breno Bidon 🟨,
66', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
66', Gui Negao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
66', Depay M. ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
67', Eduardo Biazus ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
71', Ewerthon ↓, Cauari ↑,
80', Joao Vitor 🟨,
84', Gabriel Pires ↓, Hudson ↑,
85', Guilherme Dantas ↓, Eric Botteghin ↑,
86', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
90', Matheus Bidu ↓, Kayke ↑,
90+2', Bruno Bertinato 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),
9, (Penalty Awarded),
9, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
There will not play in Corinthians: Breno Bidon
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Portuguesa: Ewerthon
(Injury)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Martinez J.
(Inactive)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Brazil
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Bruno Bertinato (G) 
Depay M. 
Angileri F. 
Carrillo A. 
Milans P. 
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