The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 42.4%
Draw 29.2%
Universidad Central 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
25.4%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
23.4%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa Acarígua's form might have worsened.
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Central's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Reyes J. (G) 66. Urpin C. 27. Moreno Quero L. 13. Peraza E. (C) 6. Trujillo A. 28. Gonzalez J. 24. Lovazzano L. 18. Montana C. 7. Rojas R. 9. Canete J. 16. Garcia H.
13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 3. Ramirez R. 19. Simarra A. 24. Cumana Y. 10. Sosa S. 6. Sole F. 30. Gonzalez A. 7. Cuesta J. 11. Bolivar J. 8. Zapata J.
Substitutes
33. Acuna M. 14. Gonzalez O. 23. Linarez D. 19. Marco Bustillo 21. Mendoza R. 29. Pena W. 20. Perez J. 8. Salega G. 5. Soto J. 30. Suarez C. 1. Velasquez B. (G) 17. Zuniga K.
20. Berroteran Y. 27. Carrillo D. 15. Davis R. 16. De Sousa D. 47. Granko A. 38. Hernandez S. 1. Morales L. (G) 9. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 17. Rodriguez V. 4. Velasquez W.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
33', Cuesta J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Rojas R. ⚽, Canete J. (A),
45+4', Sosa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Cumana Y. 🟨,
63', Sosa S. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
66', Garcia H. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
69', Cuesta J. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
69', Cumana Y. ↓, Carrillo D. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Zapata J. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Sole F. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
88', Bolivar J. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
88', Rojas R. ↓, Marco Bustillo ↑,
88', Gonzalez J. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
90+2', Montana C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
90+2', Trujillo A. ↓, Zuniga K. ↑,
90+7', Peraza E. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1.
Portuguesa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Universidad Central has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Portuguesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
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Reyes J. (G) 
Lovazzano L. 
Simarra A. 
Gonzalez A. 
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