Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 6
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 6
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 6
Ecuador	ESPN 6
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 6
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 6
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 6, Inter


	Independiente del Valle		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.27	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.28	5.68	11.12
	1.33	5.28	8.84	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5	Watch
	1.3	5.23	9.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.25)	5.31 ↓ (5.65)	9.82 ↓ (10.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
72.8%

Draw
17.7%

Universidad Central
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

16.5%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Independiente del Valle - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. (C) 23. Viacava J. 19. Loor L. 53. Lerma J. 6. Alcivar J. 16. Briones R. 11. Perello M. 9. Gonzalez C. 17. Rodriguez A.	13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. 5. Martinez L. (C) 19. Simarra A. 27. Carrillo D. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 10. Sosa S. 8. Zapata J. 7. Cuesta J. 11. Bolivar J.
Substitutes
50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 18. Gongora S. 55. Guagua D. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.	57. Cermeno C. 24. Cumana Y. 16. De Sousa D. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Mendoza K. 1. Morales L. (G) 9. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 3. Ramirez R. 17. Rodriguez V. 28. Ruiz M. 4. Velasquez W.
Coaches
Papa J.	Sasso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Bolivar J. ⚽, Cuesta J. (A),
37', Cuesta J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. ⚽,
45+2', Simarra A. 🟨,
45+5', Gonzalez C. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 2 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sosa S. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Loor L. (A),
64', Zapata J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
67', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
72', Carrillo D. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
72', Sole F. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
73', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
73', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
73', Briones R. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
73', Perello M. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
77', Viacava J. 🟥,
80', Lerma J. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
83', Simarra A. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,

Preview

Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Universidad Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ind del Valle is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Ind del Valle: Arroyo J. P. (Inactive) Cazares (Injury) Mercado P. (Injury) Pombo J. (Shoulder Injury) Schunke R. (Inactive) Sornoza J. (Red Card) Villar G. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWWL
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.26	Carabobo - Universidad Central	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Universidad Central - Libertad Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.04.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Universidad Central	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLL

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