Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 4

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Portuguesa RJ		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.5	Watch
	6.25	3.5	1.6
	5.3	3.45	1.57
	5.6	3.45	1.56
	6.4	3.58	1.57
	5	3.1	1.7
	6.65	3.52	1.56
	6	3.55	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (4.6)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
15.5%

Draw
26.4%

Vasco da Gama
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.4%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Vasco will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portuguesa RJ: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portuguesa RJ won 2.

Recent matches Vasco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa RJ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vasco have a series of guest games.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Portuguesa RJ won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa RJ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
21.01.23	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	0:1 ✺
18.01.23	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
28.08.22	Amazonas - Portuguesa RJ	3:2 ✺
20.08.22	Portuguesa RJ - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Vasco da Gama
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Inter Miami - Vasco da Gama	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
19.01.23	Audax Rio - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.23	River Plate Montevideo - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.23	Vasco da Gama - Madureira	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.22	Ituano - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	1:0
03.03.21	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	0:1
09.02.20	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	2:3
30.01.19	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	0:1
25.02.18	Portuguesa RJ - Vasco da Gama	1:0
18.02.17	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	1:0

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