Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Sampaio W. P. (Bra)


	Ituano		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3	2.95
	2.43	3.05	2.9
	2.41	3.05	2.85
	2.62	3.11	3.03
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.48	2.99	3.02	Watch
	2.43	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.12)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
37.9%

Draw
30.5%

Vasco da Gama
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Ituano - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ituano: Marlos Brenner (Injury) Neto Berola (Injury) Pacheco (Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Riquelme (Injury)

There are questionable in Ituano: Jefferson Paulino (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ituano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.22	Londrina - Ituano	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Ituano - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Criciúma - Ituano	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Ituano - Guarani	2:1 ✺
05.10.22	Cruzeiro - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
27.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Ituano	1:1

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