Match Info

URUGUAY: COPA URUGUAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Potencia		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	9	4.5	1.29
	7.6	4.71	1.31
	8.9	4.95	1.27
	8.4	4.9	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.48 ↑ (6.61)	4.77 ↑ (4)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potencia
10.7%

Draw
19.1%

Nacional Montevideo
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

22.7%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

22%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potencia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Potencia - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potencia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Potencia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.10.23	Miramar Misiones - Potencia	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Potencia - Progreso	2:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
18.10.23	Colón Montevideo - Potencia	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.10.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Potencia	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Potencia - Albion Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.10.23	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:3 ✺
19.10.23	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWT

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