Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 30

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Potenza		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.82	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.18	3.2	2.36
	2.98	3.17	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.84	3.24	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.75)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
31.7%

Draw
28.7%

Nuova Cosenza
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Potenza - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Potenza (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Potenza (votes: 1 - 50%). Cosenza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 3. Rocchetti Y. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 98. Adjapong C. 5. Lucas Martello 28. Maisto F. 27. Erradi B. 21. Schimmenti E. 70. Selleri G. 30. Petrungaro L.	1. Pompei T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 3. Moretti A. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ba R. 77. Langella C. 37. Palmieri R. 34. Florenzi A. 90. Emmausso M. 9. Beretta G.
Substitutes
19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 10. D'Auria G. 7. Delle Monache M. 23. De Marco A. 22. Franchi D. (G) 96. Guiotto G. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 31. Siatounis A.	23. Achour S. 20. Baez J. 7. Cannavo K. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 11. D'Orazio T. 33. Ferrara A. 10. Garritano L. 18. Perlingieri M. 6. Pintus N. 40. Vannucchi T. (G) 22. Vettorel T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Emmausso M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Selleri G. ⚽,
38', Langella C. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Florenzi A. ⚽,
43', Ba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Adjapong C. 🟨,
54', 1 - 3, Emmausso M. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Ba R. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
64', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
64', Petrungaro L. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
64', Erradi B. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
68', 1 - 4, Dametto P. ⚽,
70', Emmausso M. ↓, Cannavo K. ↑,
77', Pompei T. 🟨,
77', Schimmenti E. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
77', Lucas Martello ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
87', Florenzi A. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
87', Palmieri R. ↓, Garritano L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

In recent matches, Potenza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cosenza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Potenza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	11	8	2	1	28:15	13	26
19	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	9:23	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Potenza - Benevento	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Latina - Potenza	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Potenza - Altamura	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Potenza	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Potenza - Siracusa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWTT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Nuova Cosenza - Potenza	3:0

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