Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Potenza		Siracusa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.38	3.25	3.24
	2.22	3.22	3.06	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.17	2.94	3.33	Watch
	2.36	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)	3.09 ↓ (3.49)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
41.1%

Draw
29.8%

Siracusa
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Potenza - Siracusa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 14. Riggio C. 6. Loiacono G. 19. Balzano M. 8. Castorani M. 5. Lucas Martello 31. Siatounis A. 21. Schimmenti E. 70. Selleri G. 23. De Marco A.	22. Farroni A. (G) 33. Zanini M. 25. Bonacchi C. 5. Pacciardi F. 42. Iob S. 28. Frisenna G. 17. Candiano M. (C) 24. Limonelli C. 10. Pannitteri O. 14. Contini G. 7. Sbaffo A.
Substitutes
15. Camigliano A. 10. D'Auria G. 24. Delle Monache M. 27. Erradi B. 22. Franchi D. (G) 96. Guiotto G. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 2. Landi E. 28. Maisto F. 20. Ragone G. 3. Rocchetti Y.	9. Arditi G. 18. Capomaggio T. 72. Di Gesu E. 77. Di Paolo S. 20. Gudelevicius E. 2. Puzone M. 11. Riccardi P. 29. Simonetta J. 96. Sylla A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Selleri G. 🟨,
23', Iob S. 🟨,
35', Riggio C. ↓, Camigliano A. ↑,
39', Selleri G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 1 - 0, Lucas Martello ⚽,
58', Iob S. ↓, Di Paolo S. ↑,
58', Frisenna G. ↓, Puzone M. ↑,
58', Pannitteri O. ↓, Arditi G. ↑,
65', Di Paolo S. 🟨,
75', Lucas Martello ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
75', Schimmenti E. ↓, D'Auria G. ↑,
76', Zanini M. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
82', Adjapong C. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Arditi G. ⚽,
84', Farroni A. 🟨,
84', Siatounis A. 🟨,
86', Pacciardi F. ↓, Capomaggio T. ↑,
87', Cucchietti T. 🟨,
90', Adjapong C. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
90', De Marco A. ↓, Erradi B. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Farroni A. (Own goal),
90+3', Limonelli C. 🟥,
90+11', Maisto F. 🟨,
90+12', 2 - 2, Contini G. (Penalty Awarded),
90+13', Contini G. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Potenza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siracusa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Siracusa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Potenza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Potenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.26	Picerno - Potenza	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Crotone - Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWW
- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.26	Siracusa - Crotone	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Benevento - Siracusa	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Siracusa - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Monopoli - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Siracusa - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1
17.02.19	Potenza - Siracusa	2:0
21.10.18	Siracusa - Potenza	0:1

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