Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Catania		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	6	Watch
	1.45	3.85	5.5
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.51	3.7	6.92
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.44	4.1	6.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)	3.76 ↑ (3.44)	6.31 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
61.5%

Draw
24.2%

Paganese
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

21.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catania's performance.

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paganese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Catania - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catania won 0.

Catania is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paganese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Catania is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Catania won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Catania won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
19.02.22	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Juve Stabia - Catania	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Catania - Picerno	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Turris - Catania	1:3 ✺
02.02.22	Fidelis Andria - Catania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWLWT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.02.22	Paganese - Nuova Monterosi	0:3 ✺
15.02.22	Catanzaro - Paganese	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Paganese - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Vibonese - Paganese	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Paganese - Latina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.21	Paganese - Catania	1:0
24.02.21	Paganese - Catania	0:0
27.09.20	Catania - Paganese	1:1
11.12.19	Paganese - Catania	3:1
17.02.19	Catania - Paganese	2:1
20.10.18	Paganese - Catania	2:4
25.03.18	Catania - Paganese	6:0

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