Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Potters Bar Town		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.47
	5	4.5	1.47
	4.65	5.05	1.51
	4.65	5.05	1.52
	3.4	4.2	1.67
	5.48	4.39	1.49
	5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.6)	4.57 ↑ (3.91)	1.51 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potters Bar Town
19.4%

Draw
20.1%

Hornchurch
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

23.7%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.6%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potters Bar Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potters Bar Town's form might have worsened.

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potters Bar Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, Manor L. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potters Bar won 0.

Potters Bar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Potters Bar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Potters Bar have a series of home games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Potters Bar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Potters Bar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Haringey Borough	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Enfield Town - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
11.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Margate	2:3 ✺
09.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Horsham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.04.24	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Margate - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
09.04.24	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hornchurch - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.11.23	Hornchurch - Potters Bar Town	3:0
11.02.23	Hornchurch - Potters Bar Town	5:0
26.11.22	Potters Bar Town - Hornchurch	2:5
08.03.22	Potters Bar Town - Hornchurch	1:2
30.08.21	Hornchurch - Potters Bar Town	4:0
08.02.20	Potters Bar Town - Hornchurch	2:1
02.11.19	Hornchurch - Potters Bar Town	3:1

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