Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	SKY NET Sports 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	TVWan Sports 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+


	Bristol City		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.85	3.5	2.5	Watch
	3.09	3.85	2.12
	2.77	3.48	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	2.87	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.17)	3.52 ↓ (3.67)	2.42 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
33.6%

Draw
27.1%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.7%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.2%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolverhampton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolverhampton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Bristol City - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 19. Tanner G. 14. Vyner Z. 15. McNally L. 2. McCrorie R. 12. Knight J. (C) 29. McGuane M. 24. Roberts H. 10. Twine S. 9. Mayulu F. 11. Mehmeti A.	31. Johnstone S. (G) 2. Doherty M. (C) 4. Bueno S. 12. Agbadou E. 19. Gomes R. 7. Andre 8. Gomes J. 3. Ait-Nouri R. 29. Guedes G. 9. Larsen J. S. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan
Substitutes
23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 6. Bird M. 40. Earthy G. 7. Hirakawa Y. 31. Morrison E. 4. Naismith K. 17. Sykes M. 21. Wells N.	27. Bellegarde J. 25. Bentley D. (G) 84. Chiwome L. 20. Doyle T. 26. Forbs C. 33. Meupiyou B. 37. Pedro Lima 46. Pond A. 21. Sarabia P.
Coaches
Manning L.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Ait-Nouri R. ⚽, Gomes J. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Gomes R. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
29', McGuane M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Twine S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Knight J. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
65', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
69', McGuane M. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
75', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Sarabia P. ↑,
76', Guedes G. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
77', Mayulu F. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
89', Gomes R. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
90+6', Ait-Nouri R. ↓, Pond A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1.

Bristol City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Wolverhampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:23 (average 1.4:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
04.01.25	Bristol City - Derby County	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Bristol City - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
26.12.24	Bristol City - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
06.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
29.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
17.02.19	Bristol City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
English League Championship
30.12.17	Bristol City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2
12.09.17	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bristol City	3:3
08.04.17	Bristol City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
26.12.16	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bristol City	3:2
08.03.16	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bristol City	2:1
03.11.15	Bristol City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0

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