Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Preußen Münster		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.1
	2.48	3.73	2.58	Watch
				Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.09	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.45)	3.55 (3.55)	2.21 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
30.6%

Draw
26.6%

Holstein Kiel
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

25.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preußen Münster's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preußen Münster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	30%	56.7%

Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 39% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schenk J. (C) 27. ter Horst J. 3. Jaeckel P. 22. Heuer J. 2. Kirkeskov M. 7. Sertdemir Z. 5. Bouchama Y. 21. Preissinger R. 13. Lokotsch L. 17. Batista Meier O. 23. Batmaz M.	21. Krumrey J. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 5. Johansson C. 26. Zec D. 23. Rosenboom L. 39. Wagner R. 24. Knudsen M. 47. Tolkin J. 11. Bernhardsson A. (C) 10. Therkelsen J. 20. Kapralik A.
Substitutes
30. Amenyido E. 25. Bolay L. 20. Hendrix J. 8. Mees J. 15. Scherder S. 10. Schulz M. 4. Tikvic A. 11. Vilhelmsson O.	19. Harres P. 3. Komenda M. 45. Koster L. 25. Muller M. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Ende A.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Batmaz M. ↓, Lokotsch L. ↑,
10', Ivezic M. 🟨,
16', Preissinger R. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Kapralik A. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
31', Sertdemir Z. 🟨,
32', Heuer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Therkelsen J. ↓, Koster L. ↑,
46', Johansson C. ↓, Komenda M. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Batista Meier O. (Pen),
66', Preissinger R. ↓, Paetow T. ↑,
70', Rosenboom L. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
71', Kapralik A. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
72', Koster L. 🟨,
73', Paetow T. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Bouchama Y. ⚽,
86', Tolkin J. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
86', Sertdemir Z. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
86', Heuer J. ↓, Koulis N. ↑,
87', Makridis C. ↓, Benger M. ↑,
90', Komenda M. 🟨,
90+7', Schenk J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Münster won 1.

Recent form of Münster has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Münster: Amenyido E. (Injury) Benger M. (Foot Injury) Bolay L. (Injury) Hendrix J. (Yellow Cards) Lokotsch L. (Illness) Mees J. (Thigh Injury) Meyerhofer M. (Muscle Injury) Scherder S. (Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Münster won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Münster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.25	Magdeburg - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Preußen Münster - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLW
- Holstein Kiel
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.17	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0
29.10.16	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	1:1
16.04.16	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0
31.10.15	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	2:0
21.02.15	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	1:3
30.08.14	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	1:1
08.02.14	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	3:0

Upcoming Matches