Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Preußen Münster		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.45	2.08	Watch
	3.34	3.75	2.11
	3.29	3.64	2.11	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.1
	3.42	3.45	2.06	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.65)	3.5 ↓ (3.61)	2.1 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
28.6%

Draw
26.8%

Elversberg
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.2%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	18.2%	77.3%

Preußen Münster - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Elversberg will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schenk J. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 22. Heuer J. 3. Jaeckel P. 25. Bolay L. 5. Bouchama Y. 6. Benger M. 20. Hendrix J. (C) 8. Mees J. 13. Lokotsch L. 17. Batista Meier O.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.
Substitutes
30. Amenyido E. 26. Behrens M. (G) 2. Kirkeskov M. 39. Korte J. 14. Makridis C. 28. Meyerhofer M. 16. Paetow T. 21. Preissinger R. 7. Sertdemir Z.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 6. Conde A. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 14. Malanga J. 31. Rohr M. 23. Sickinger C. 9. Stange O.
Coaches
Ende A.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Batista Meier O. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 1, Ebnoutalib Y. (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', Zimmerschied T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Bouchama Y. ↓, Sertdemir Z. ↑,
58', Benger M. 🟨,
65', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
65', Mickelson N. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
67', ter Horst J. 🟨,
73', Benger M. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
73', Mees J. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
73', Heuer J. ↓, Paetow T. ↑,
75', Le Joncour F. 🟨,
84', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
87', Bolay L. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
90+3', Gyamerah J. ↓, Rohr M. ↑,
90+3', Poreba L. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Amenyido E. ⚽, Jaeckel P. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Recent performances by Münster have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elversberg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elversberg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Scherder S. (Knee Injury) Schulz M. (Knee Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Münster: Paetow T. (Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Münster won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Münster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Preußen Münster - Hannover	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Preußen Münster - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWTL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Paderborn - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Elversberg - Preußen Münster	0:1
19.10.24	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
15.02.14	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	2:1
31.08.13	Elversberg - Preußen Münster	2:2

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