Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 37

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pro Patria		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.21	2.24
	3.12	3.24	2.19	Watch
	3	2.9	2.15
	3.15	3.08	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
29%

Draw
29.3%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Pro Patria - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Sala A. (G) 20. Mora C. 6. Sassaro A. 39. Motolese M. 19. Travaglini C. 17. Tunjov G. 23. Frosali J. 25. Ferri D. 11. Renelus B. 10. Mastroianni F. 70. Desogus J.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 26. Boccia S. 57. Milillo A. 33. Boffelli A. 13. Cariolato F. 15. Bianchi N. 6. Lakti E. 17. Castegnaro L. 23. Bernardi E. 32. Nanni N. 9. Mattioli A.
Substitutes
13. Aliata T. 14. Citterio G. 5. Di Munno A. 31. Felicioli G. 27. Giudici L. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 26. Masi A. 7. Orfei A. 33. Pogliano C. 4. Reggiori P. 21. Ricordi T. 1. Rovida W. (G) 8. Schiavone A. 40. Schiro T. 9. Udoh K.	1. Bertini T. (G) 21. Cotoarba M. 8. Damiani M. 47. Jamali N. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 10. Minesso M. 16. Moretti M. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G. 5. Rossoni S. 25. Spaggiari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Nanni N. ⚽,
33', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', Desogus J. 🟨,
61', Bianchi N. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
61', Cariolato F. ↓, Rossoni S. ↑,
63', Desogus J. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
63', Frosali J. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Renelus B. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Nanni N. ⚽,
71', Mattioli A. ↓, Moretti M. ↑,
73', Boffelli A. 🟨,
76', Motolese M. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
84', Ferri D. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
84', Mora C. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
85', Boccia S. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
85', Nanni N. ↓, Minesso M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Lanzi E. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Orfei A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).

Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.

Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ArzignanoChiampo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Arzignano	11	6	2	3	16:11	5	20

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Patria - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.8%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.62%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
13.04.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Pro Patria	2:4 ✺
06.04.26	Pro Patria - Triestina	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pro Patria - Lecco	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
12.04.26	Inter U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.12.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	2:1
13.03.25	Pro Patria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
29.10.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	1:0
21.01.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	0:1
17.09.23	Pro Patria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1
23.12.22	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	0:0
03.09.22	Pro Patria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1

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