Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)

Referee: Vikonis F. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Progreso		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.20	2.35	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.25
	3.35	3.20	2.10
	3.27	3.13	2.41
	3.1	3.29	2.28	Watch
	3.10	3.00	2.30
	3.17	3.21	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.02)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	2.28 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
29.7%

Draw
29.5%

Albion Montevideo
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Progreso - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Albion will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Requena A. (G) 15. Martin M. 13. Carroso H. 27. Silva G. 14. Kidd F. 5. Pinheiro A. 8. Colombino A. (C) 11. Lopez N. 29. Fernandez N. 17. De Leon F. 25. Dos Santos J.	1. Jaume S. (G) 2. Couture F. 17. de los Santos M. 24. Burdin E. 16. Alvarez J. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. (C) 27. Costa S. 22. Vera A. 10. Airala C. 32. Figueroa T.
Substitutes
6. Andueza F. 2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 30. Codagnone A. 23. Copelotti M. 40. Cougo A. 12. Fernandez L. (G) 10. Lemmo I. 18. Silva G. 9. Silva G. 16. Trasante G.	18. Acosta B. 20. Gutierrez R. 13. Lacoste P. 80. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 23. Perez del Castillo B. 29. Puente F. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N. 11. Toledo H.
Coaches
Silva T.	Nieves F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Moschion T. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Figueroa T. ⚽,
41', Moschion T. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Airala C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De Leon F. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
46', Martin M. ↓, Trasante G. ↑,
46', Pinheiro A. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
56', Dos Santos J. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 1 - 2, Dos Santos J. ⚽,
64', de los Santos M. 🟨,
72', Dos Santos J. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
76', Vera A. ↓, Gutierrez R. ↑,
77', Kidd F. ↓, Lemmo I. ↑,
78', Carroso H. 🟨,
87', Figueroa T. 🟨,
90+2', Costa S. ↓, Lacoste P. ↑,
90+2', Airala C. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
90+3', Colombino A. 🟨,

Preview

Progreso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Albion has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albion might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Progreso	9	4	0	5	9:12	-3	12
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.05.26	Danubio - Progreso	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Progreso - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Progreso	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Progreso - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Nacional Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Danubio - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.03.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	2:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.23	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	3:2
22.07.23	Albion Montevideo - Progreso	3:0
22.04.23	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	1:0

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