Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Toluca		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.08	7.9	16.5
	1.13	7.27	18.35	Watch
	1.09	7.6	16	Watch
	1.11	9	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 (1.1)	7.94 ↓ (8)	16.96 ↓ (21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
83.1%

Draw
11.5%

Puebla
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84%

11.6%

4.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Toluca - Puebla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Thompson K. (G) 10. Cuevas B. 5. Erceg A. 16. Fernandez L. 28. Henry A. (C) 3. Lopez J. 2. Martinez K. 26. Munoz I. 7. Peraza C. 25. Robert F. 17. van de Sanden S.	1. Machuca Rubio S. G. (G) 26. De Alba L. 6. Fernandez L. 3. Garcia M. 15. Gonzalez J. 22. Lopez Roque I. S. 16. Martinez D. 12. Martinez L. 23. Rodriguez C. 4. Sanchez L. 21. Villegas Aguilar R. I. (C)
Substitutes
8. Cortez V. 11. Guatemala D. 99. Le Sommer E. 13. Lopez V. 12. Martinez V. (G) 15. Ramirez M. 21. Valadez N. 6. Vazquez S. 34. Velasquez Hernandez B. J.	14. Cruz L. 11. Desales M. 18. Gonzalez J. 8. Oviedo A. J. 19. Perez P. (G) 24. Silva V. 2. Vivanco Escamilla S. X.
Coaches
Lair P.	Morales C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Robert F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Le Sommer E. ↑,
46', Lopez Roque I. S. ↓, Vivanco Escamilla S. X. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
58', Munoz I. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
61', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
64', van de Sanden S. ↓, Valadez N. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Lopez V. ⚽,
70', Martinez D. 🟨,
73', Martinez K. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
79', Rodriguez C. ↓, Oviedo A. J. ↑,
81', Fernandez L. ↓, Desales M. ↑,
81', Sanchez L. 🟨,
87', Sanchez L. ↓, Cruz L. ↑,
90+7', 4 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5.

Toluca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Puebla has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Toluca is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
17.10.25	Necaxa - Toluca	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Toluca	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Toluca - Mazatlan	6:0 ✺
29.09.25	Atlas - Toluca	2:2 ✺
22.09.25	Toluca - Club America	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTT
- Puebla FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
19.10.25	Puebla - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Puebla - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
29.09.25	Santos Laguna - Puebla	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puebla - Cruz Azul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
13.04.25	Puebla - Toluca	1:3
07.09.24	Toluca - Puebla	1:0
03.05.24	Puebla - Toluca	1:2
05.10.23	Toluca - Puebla	3:0
26.02.23	Puebla - Toluca	0:2
17.10.22	Toluca - Puebla	1:1
09.01.22	Puebla - Toluca	1:3

Toluca - Puebla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide