Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Atlético La Paz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.85	3.68	4.24
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.8	3.55	4.2
	1.82	3.55	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.07)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	3.99 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
50.8%

Draw
26.2%

Atlético La Paz
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pumas Tabasco's performance.

Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pumas Tabasco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Pumas Tabasco - Atlético La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Pumas Tabasco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético La Paz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pumas Tabasco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.03.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Pumas Tabasco	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Venados	1:1 ✺
22.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Celaya	0:1 ✺
17.02.23	Tapatío - Pumas Tabasco	3:1 ✺
13.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Pumas Tabasco	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLT
- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.03.23	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
28.02.23	Atlético La Paz - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
23.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético La Paz	3:2 ✺
15.02.23	Atlético La Paz - Cancún	1:0 ✺
07.02.23	Raya2 Expansión - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
21.09.22	Atlético La Paz - Pumas Tabasco	6:1

Pumas Tabasco - Atlético La Paz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide