Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.33
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.6	3.9	5
	1.67	3.7	4.5
	1.69	3.88	5.02
	1.62	3.5	4.8
	1.66	3.84	4.85
	1.68	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.55)	4.73 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
55.8%

Draw
24.7%

Skra Częstochowa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	6.1%	12.2%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: Puszcza Niepołomice will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Puszcza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skra Częstochowa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Skra Częstochowa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Puszcza is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
23.10.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
19.10.22	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
15.10.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Odra Opole - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3 ✺
02.10.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLTWW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
24.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	GKS Tychy - Skra Częstochowa	5:0 ✺
01.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.05.22	Skra Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2
05.11.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Skra Częstochowa	1:2

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