Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 8

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:15	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	12:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	13:15	Veikkaus TV
Poland	12:15	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	13:15	Kyivstar TV


	Piast Gliwice		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.59	3.75	6.75
	1.61	3.78	6.13	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6
	1.58	3.8	5.92	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	6.07 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
59.9%

Draw
24.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

26.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Piast Gliwice - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (G) 77. Pyrka A. 5. Huk T. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 29. Drapinski I. 10. Dziczek P. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 92. Kadzior D. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Felix J. 39. Rosolek M.	1. Komar K. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 22. Craciun A. 3. Yakuba R. 18. Siplak M. 14. Serafin J. (C) 5. Stepien K. 17. Radecki M. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 33. Abramowicz D. 35. Kosidis M.
Substitutes
17. Karbowy F. 96. Kostadinov T. 36. Lewicki J. 3. Miguelito 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 9. Piasecki F. 30. Szczepanski M. 33. Szymanski K. (G)	11. Cholewiak M. 70. Hajda W. 29. Okoniewski K. 31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Revenco I. 27. Solowiej L. 12. Stepien M. 10. Tomalski H. 16. Walski M.
Coaches
Vukovic A.	Tulacz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lee Jin-Hyun 🟨,
10', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
41', Radecki M. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Kadzior D. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Mrozinski P. ⚽, Kosidis M. (A),
71', 1 - 1, Chrapek M. (Pen),
77', Felix J. ↓, Kostadinov T. ↑,
77', Rosolek M. ↓, Piasecki F. ↑,
77', Chrapek M. ↓, Szczepanski M. ↑,
81', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
81', Siplak M. ↓, Hajda W. ↑,
86', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
90+3', Drapinski I. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 14).

Piast is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Puszcza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Piast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Piast is a favorite.

There will not play in Puszcza: Kidric R. (Injury) Siemaszko A. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Piast won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.08.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
19.08.24	Stal Mielec - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLTW
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	4:1 ✺
11.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
25.05.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice	1:0
12.03.24	Piast Gliwice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
Club Friendly
16.01.14	Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice	1:4

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