Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.45	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.54	3.18	3.16
	2.54	3.01	3.09	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.48	3.06	2.98	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 (2.46)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.99 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
38.2%

Draw
30.3%

Korona Kielce
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	42.9%	7.1%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Korona will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 22. Craciun A. 3. Yakuba R. 18. Siplak M. 14. Serafin J. (C) 5. Stepien K. 11. Cholewiak M. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 33. Abramowicz D. 35. Kosidis M.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 66. Trojak M. (C) 5. Resta P. 6. Pieczek M. 37. Zwozny H. 27. Pedro N. 18. Hofmayster Y. 3. Matuszewski K. 9. Shikavka Y. 20. Dalmau A. 8. Remacle M.
Substitutes
24. Blagaic J. 70. Hajda W. 77. Kogut M. 31. Perchel M. (G) 17. Radecki M. 27. Solowiej L. 4. Szymonowicz D. 10. Tomalski H. 16. Walski M.	7. Blanik D. 71. Dlugosz W. 17. Fornalczyk M. 88. Kaminski W. 4. Malarczyk P. 87. Mamla R. (G) 10. Nagamatsu S. 24. Smolarczyk B. 21. Trejo D.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Lee Jin-Hyun 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Kosidis M. ↓, Blagaic J. ↑,
60', Cholewiak M. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
71', Serafin J. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
71', Zwozny H. ↓, Dlugosz W. ↑,
71', Remacle M. ↓, Nagamatsu S. ↑,
77', Hofmayster Y. 🟨,
80', Hofmayster Y. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
80', Pedro N. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
83', Siplak M. ↓, Hajda W. ↑,
83', Mrozinski P. ↓, Szymonowicz D. ↑,
90+2', Nagamatsu S. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Korona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Puszcza: Kidric R. (Injury) Siemaszko A. (Injury)

There will not play in Korona: Czyzycki M. (Injury) Godinho M. (Injury) Nono (Injury) Zator D. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.08.24	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	4:1 ✺
11.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
02.08.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
26.07.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Zabrze	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLT
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.08.24	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Korona Kielce - Cracovia	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
29.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	1:1
27.10.23	Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice	5:3
Club Friendly
19.01.22	Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:1
Polish Division 1
27.11.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	5:2
09.08.21	Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1
13.03.21	Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
11.09.20	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	0:0

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