Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 23

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.62	3.25	2.88
				Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.75
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
37.4%

Draw
29%

Motor Lublin
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.8%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Motor will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 22. Craciun A. 4. Szymonowicz D. 3. Yakuba R. 8. Mrozinski P. 6. Atanasov J. 14. Serafin J. 24. Blagaic J. 88. Zhukov G. 33. Abramowicz D. 63. Barkovsky G.	1. Rosa K. (G) 17. Wojcik F. 18. Najemski A. 3. Matthys H. 47. Palacz K. 21. Labojko J. 19. Van Hoeven B. 68. Wolski B. 11. Caliskaner K. 77. Ceglarz P. 90. Mraz S.
Substitutes
45. Kidric R. 7. Klimek A. 35. Kosidis M. 31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Revenco I. 18. Siplak M. 27. Solowiej L. 5. Stepien K. 12. Stepien M.	39. Bartos M. 45. Jez O. (G) 26. Krol M. 24. Luberecki F. 30. Ndiaye M. J. 37. Scalet M. 7. Sefer A. 22. Simon C. 9. Welniak K.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
15', Najemski A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Najemski A. ⚽, Matthys H. (A),
34', Zhukov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Najemski A. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
46', Zhukov G. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
50', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
52', Mrozinski P. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
60', Stepien K. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
61', Blagaic J. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
67', Caliskaner K. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
67', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
73', Matthys H. 🟨,
75', Scalet M. 🟨,
79', Ceglarz P. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
82', Labojko J. ↓, Sefer A. ↑,
86', Bartos M. 🟨,
88', Craciun A. 🟨,
88', Mraz S. 🟨,
90+3', Serafin J. ↓, Kidric R. ↑,
90+9', 🟨,
90+9', 🟥,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Puszcza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Puszcza have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Motor: Brkic I. (Knee Injury) Kruk K. (Knee Injury) Stolarski P. (Yellow Cards) Tratnik G. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Puszcza: Siemaszko A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Puszcza Niepołomice - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.34%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Cup
27.02.25	Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.02.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Legia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Górnik Zabrze - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLT
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.02.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.25	Motor Lublin - Dinamo Batumi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
24.08.24	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1

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