Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: AZERBAIJAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday


	Qarabağ Agdam		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.09	7.5	21	Watch
	1.1	7.32	16.54
	1.05	7.5	19
	1.11	8	17.5
	1.11	7.2	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.47)	7.5 ↑ (4.25)	18.41 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
83%

Draw
12.1%

MOIK Baku
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.7%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

21%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOIK Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOIK Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Qarabağ Agdam - MOIK Baku Predictions

Users Predictions: Qarabağ Agdam will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Qarabağ in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches MOIK is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qarabağ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Qarabağ is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.12.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Häcken	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.12.23	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	1:6 ✺
04.12.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Molde - Qarabağ Agdam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWT
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
13.12.23	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
07.12.23	İmişli - MOIK Baku	2:1 ✺
23.11.23	Araz Saatlı - MOIK Baku	0:1 ✺
09.11.23	MOIK Baku - İrəvan	0:0 ✺
02.11.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTT

Upcoming Matches