Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	20:45	CBC Sport
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	00:45	QQ Sports
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 9
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus
International	16:45	Disney+, VIX App


	Qarabağ Agdam		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.7	3.6
	2.05	3.75	3.5
	2.04	3.75	3.65
	2.01	3.63	3.6	Watch
	2	3.7	3.6
	2.05	3.9	3.69
	2.05	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
47.6%

Draw
25.8%

Malmö
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	17.9%	10.7%

Qarabağ Agdam - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 66. Andrade P. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 18. Juninho	27. Dahlin J. (G) 17. Stryger Larsen J. 18. Jansson P. 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 10. Christiansen A. (C) 8. Pena S. 23. Johnsen L. B. 16. Berg O. 9. Kiese Thelin I. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 90. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 55. Huseynov B. 24. Isayev A. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 22. Qurbanly M. 20. Richard Almeyda	22. Ali T. 38. Bolin H. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 14. Jorgensen S. 34. Loukili Z. 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 5. Rieks S. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 35. Zatterstrom N.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Botheim E. ⚽, Busanello (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dahlin J. ↓, Ricardo Friedrich ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Botheim E. ⚽, Johnsen L. B. (A),
62', Christiansen A. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
68', Andrade P. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
68', Mustafazada B. ↓, Huseynov B. ↑,
69', Romao J. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
72', Bolin H. 🟨,
77', Huseynov B. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
79', Pena S. ↓, Rosengren O. ↑,
90', Botheim E. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
90', Kiese Thelin I. ↓, Rieks S. ↑,
90', Ricardo Friedrich 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

Qarabağ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Malmö is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qarabağ will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Haksabanovic S. (Groin Injury) Holmquist Vecchia S. (Back Injury) Lewicki O. (Knee Injury) Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.09.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Qarabağ Agdam	3:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.09.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	4:0 ✺
14.09.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Malmö - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Malmö - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.24	Malmö - Häcken	4:0 ✺
18.09.24	GAIS - Malmö	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	AIK - Malmö	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTT

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