Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Slovenia	Slovenia TV2


	Qarabağ Agdam		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.67	4	5
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.63	4.07	5.68
	1.57	3.7	4.6
	1.6	4.05	5.3
	1.68	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	3.91 ↑ (3.7)	5.18 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
57.7%

Draw
24.1%

Olimpija Ljubljana
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	2.9%	5.7%

Qarabağ Agdam - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: Qarabağ Agdam will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.16% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 27. Bayramov T. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 19. Xhixha R.	69. Vidovsek M. (G) 2. Silva J. 6. Karamatic M. 14. Ratnik M. 43. Krefl A. 34. Doffo A. 10. Elsnik T. M. (C) 23. Costa Pinto D. 99. Rui Pedro 37. Schwaizer P. L. 20. Motika N.
Substitutes
90. Akhundzade N. 11. Diakhaby A. 18. Juninho 17. Keyta H. 99. Lunev A. (G) 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 4. Mammadov R. 5. Medvedev M. 83. Quliyev N. 20. Richard Almeyda 2. Silva M.	17. Bristric A. 11. Fadida S. 33. Gavric N. 77. Jakupovic A. 8. Lasickas J. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 16. Muhamedbegovic A. 9. Nukic M. 22. Pintol D. (G) 21. Posavec I. 15. Ristic M.
Coaches
Gurbanov G.	Henriques J.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Qarabağ in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Olimpija is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qarabağ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Qarabağ is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Qarabağ to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	HJK - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWW
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.08.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Galatasaray - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Domžale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2
UEFA Champions League
18.07.18	Qarabağ Agdam - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0
11.07.18	Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1

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