Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Hainiu		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	6.50	5.00	1.39	Watch
	5.50	5.00	1.40
	6.00	4.75	1.44	Watch
	6.44	5.49	1.42
	5.6	4.87	1.47	Watch
	6.15	5.40	1.40
	6.43	4.95	1.41	Watch
	6.20	5.20	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (5.18)	5.08 ↑ (4.56)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
15.4%

Draw
18.4%

Beijing Guoan
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mu Pengfei (C) 37. Wei Zixian 4. Jin Yangyang 23. Song Long 29. Li Suda 7. Yeboah Y. 20. Gong Ruicong 6. Edjouma M. 34. Jin Yonghao 9. Liu Xinyu 32. Tufegdzic L.	34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 25. Spajic U. 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 37. Cao Yongjing 7. Serginho 8. Konte A. 11. Lin Liangming 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning
Substitutes
30. Che Shiwei 43. Jappar M. (G) 16. Li Hailong 21. Liu Guobao 33. Liu Jiashen 1. Liu Jun (G) 10. Strandberg C. 14. Sun Zheng'ao 17. Wang Qiao 22. Yang Cong 52. Yi Xinyang 47. Zheng Cuanhui	24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 41. Cheng Xi 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng Jiefu 30. Fan Shuangjie 22. Han Jiaqi (G) 36. Jia Feifan 4. Li Lei 31. Liu S. (G) 27. Wang Gang 17. Yang Liyu 10. Zhang Xizhe
Coaches
Ristic M.	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Abreu F. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 0 - 2, Serginho ⚽,
40', Spajic U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 3, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
65', Abreu F. ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
65', Bai Yang ↓, Li Lei ↑,
65', Lin Liangming ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
68', Tufegdzic L. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
71', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Wang Gang ↑,
71', Gong Ruicong 🟨,
78', Serginho ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
78', Liu Xinyu ↓, Liu Guobao ↑,
78', Wei Zixian ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
81', Wang Gang 🟨,
83', Jin Yangyang ↓, Liu Jiashen ↑,
83', Jin Yonghao ↓, Yang Cong ↑,
90+5', Li Suda 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation - League One and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.

Qingdao Hainiu is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Beijing Guoan is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Beijing Guoan holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Qingdao Hainiu: El Messaoudi A. (Injury) Tufegdzic L. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Beijing Guoan: Lin Liangming (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Wu Shaocong (Health problems).

Our forecast points to a victory for Beijing Guoan in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Hainiu has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:27 (averaging 1.6:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Qingdao Hainiu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Beijing Guoan	27	12	10	5	52:33	19	41
16	Qingdao Hainiu	27	6	3	18	34:56	-22	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
05.09.26	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:5 ✺
23.08.26	Shanghai Port - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Pohang Steelers	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
05.09.26	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.08.26	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
15.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	4:2
26.10.25	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:4
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1
19.10.24	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	6:0
21.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1
22.07.23	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0
25.04.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	3:1

Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide