Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 8

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)


	Qingdao West Coast		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.6	3.32	2.81
	2.55	3.32	2.81
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.57	3.29	2.83	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.24)	3.23 (3.23)	2.86 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
38.3%

Draw
29%

Nantong Zhiyun
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Qingdao West Coast - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 18. Piao Shihao 27. Yang Boyu 5. Liu Pujin 14. Feng Gang 10. Da Luz N. 17. Chen Po-Liang (C) 23. Eduardo Henrique 39. Lei Wenjie 11. Alan 19. Beauguel J.	23. Xue Qinghao (C) 5. Ma Sheng 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin 13. Song Haoyu 25. Cao Kang 16. Puclin D. 26. Ye Daochi 29. Zheng Haoqian 6. Yang Ming-Yang 9. Godinez J.
Substitutes
15. Abduklim Merdanjan 16. Chen Xiangyu 24. Duan Liuyu 29. Gao Tianyu 30. He Longhai 1. Ji Jibao (G) 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 25. Pei Shuai 9. Riascos B. 2. Song Bowei 13. Tan Kaiyuan 7. Tian Yong	14. Chen Zhao (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 17. Ji Shengpan 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 15. Liu Wei 38. Lu Yongtao 7. Nzuzi Mata K. 4. Shinar Y. 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 11. Zimin Nuali
Coaches
Kurosaki H.	Jurasovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Godinez J. ⚽, Song Haoyu (A),
38', 0 - 2, Godinez J. ⚽, Yang Ming-Yang (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Feng Gang ↓, Riascos B. ↑,
46', Liu Pujin ↓, Pei Shuai ↑,
61', Ye Daochi ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
61', Luo Xin ↓, Liao Lei ↑,
66', Zheng Haoqian 🟨,
75', Cao Kang ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
76', Lei Wenjie ↓, Tan Kaiyuan ↑,
79', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
88', Piao Shihao ↓, Gao Tianyu ↑,
90+1', Yang Boyu ↓, Chen Xiangyu ↑,
90+3', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Zimin Nuali ↑,
90+3', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Liu Wei ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).

Recent matches Qingdao West Coast is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nantong Zhiyun is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao West Coast will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
21.04.24	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao West Coast	3:2 ✺
10.04.24	Qingdao West Coast - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Zhejiang Professional - Qingdao West Coast	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Qingdao West Coast - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LLLWW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
20.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Port	0:3 ✺
05.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
29.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao West Coast	0:0
13.06.22	Qingdao West Coast - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2

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