The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers 56.6%
Draw 24.3%
Derby County 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
25.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.2%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Queens Park Rangers's performance.
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Queens Park Rangers - Derby County Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - QPR (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.83) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
O/U 2.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Queens Park Rangers will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 23rd in the Relegation - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
In recent outings, QPR has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Derby has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to QPR for this game.
Confirmed absences for QPR: Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Dembele K.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Clarke M.
(Calf Injury)
Forsyth C.
(Knee Injury)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Taylor C.
(Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for QPR: Burrell R.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, QPR has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for QPR against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).
Denmark
Finland
Iceland
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
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