Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Queens Park Rangers		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.20	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.25
	3.20	3.40	2.14	Watch
	3.20	3.74	2.24
	3.13	3.58	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.65	2.25
	3.03	3.50	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.44)	3.57 ↑ (3.41)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
30.7%

Draw
26.6%

Middlesbrough
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.3%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

26.3%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Charles P. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 6. Clarke-Salter J. 19. Cirkin D. 20. Vale H. 5. Edwards R. 17. Poku K. 10. Chair I. 11. Smyth P. 22. Kone R.	1. Vitek R. (G) 4. Phillips A. 29. Malanda A. 30. Neto Borges 2. Brittain C. (C) 6. Berhalter S. 10. Morris A. 17. Arfsten M. 22. Joseph K. 8. McGree R. 7. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
2. Adamson K. 16. Burrell R. 18. Kamara G. 48. Lamptey T. 15. Lloyd A. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 40. Varane J. 13. Ward C. (G)	12. Ayling L. 31. Brynn S. (G) 19. Castledine L. 9. Conway T. 11. Cozier-Duberry A. 5. Jones A. 14. Peart-Harris M. 21. Pukstas R. 13. Strelec D.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Chair I. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
20', 0 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽, Brittain C. (A),
39', Kone R. ↓, Burrell R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lankshear W. ↓, Peart-Harris M. ↑,
55', McGree R. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
58', Malanda A. 🟨,
67', Poku K. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
67', Cirkin D. ↓, Lamptey T. ↑,
67', Clarke-Salter J. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
71', Arfsten M. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
72', Phillips A. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
76', Brittain C. 🟨,
84', Berhalter S. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
90+6', Kamara G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

QPR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Middlesbrough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.3:2.4).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 13.45% QPR: 2.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10:7	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.11%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Middlesbrough - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
02.09.26	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
02.09.26	Burnley - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Middlesbrough - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	0:4
13.12.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1
11.03.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
05.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	1:4
09.03.24	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	0:2
02.09.23	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	0:2
18.02.23	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1

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