The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 27.8%
Draw 28.3%
West Bromwich Albion 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.2%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
27.5%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Bromwich Albion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for West Bromwich Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
19%
66.7%
Derby County - West Bromwich Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%). Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 46.5% – 86.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DC - Derby (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH +0.75 - Derby (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (2.00) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 66.7%). West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 28. Sanderson D. 6. Langas S. (C) 44. Cashin E. 18. Taylor C. 20. Mowatt A. 4. Ozoh D. 26. Hedges R. 8. Clark B. 16. Fuseini M. 11. Szmodics S.
1. O'Leary M. (G) 18. Pereira B. 3. Phillips N. 6. Campbell G. (C) 4. Styles C. 29. Whitwell H. 8. Molumby J. 17. Diakite O. 21. Price I. 19. Heggebo A. 11. Morgan J.
Substitutes
33. Blackett-Taylor C. 29. Fraulo O. 22. Johnston M. 19. Meister H. 24. Nyambe R. 42. Offor R. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J.
42. Cisse B. (G) 15. Collyer T. 25. Galves N. 2. Mepham C. 7. Myhre F. 20. Nzingoula R. 9. Stewart B. 22. Townsend C. 26. Tunde K.
Coaches
Eustace J.
Morrison J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Whitwell H. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Heggebo A. ⚽, Morgan J. (A),
26', Pereira B. 🟨,
34', Pereira B. 🟨,
37', Whitwell H. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanderson D. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
46', Heggebo A. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
46', Hedges R. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
52', Galves N. ↓, Townsend C. ↑,
63', Ozoh D. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
82', Morgan J. 🟨,
84', Cashin E. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4.
Derby is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
West Bromwich has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Forsyth C.
(Inactive)
Morris C.
(Inactive)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Travis L.
(Injury)
There will not play in West Bromwich: Johnston M.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Derby: Clarke M.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Derby won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
West Brom: 2.42% Derby: 0.33%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
West Brom
9
4
2
3
10:9
1
14
23
Derby
9
1
3
5
8:15
-7
6
Last Results with these Odds
Derby County - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Sanderson D. 
Langas S. (C) 
Cashin E. 
Hedges R. 
Fuseini M. 
Pereira B. 
Campbell G. (C) 
Styles C. 
Diakite O. 
Price I. 
Fraulo O. 
Johnston M. 
Nyambe R. 
Tunde K. 
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