The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 32%
Draw 28.4%
Wrexham 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
27.7%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
28.8%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Derby County - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 22nd in the Relegation - League One and 14th).
Recent results have been tough for Derby (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wrexham has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Bilbija F.
(Back Injury)
Clarke M.
(Calf Injury)
Forsyth C.
(Knee Injury)
Meister H.
(Concussion)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wrexham: Broadhead N.
(Thigh Injury)
Cacace L.
(Calf Injury)
Cleworth M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rathbone O.
(Ankle Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomason G.
(Thigh Injury).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Derby has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Derby against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Wrexham: 3.71% Derby: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Wrexham
8
2
4
2
9:12
-3
10
22
Derby
8
1
2
5
7:14
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Derby County - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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