The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 33.9%
Draw 28.5%
Wrexham 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
27.7%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
28.3%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Derby County - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 6. Langas S. 28. Sanderson D. 26. Hedges R. 20. Mowatt A. 4. Ozoh D. 16. Fuseini M. 8. Clark B. 11. Szmodics S. 9. Morris C. (C)
22. Patterson A. (G) 26. Vyner Z. 5. Hyam D. (C) 6. Worrall J. 12. Kabore I. 8. Whiteman B. 27. O'Brien L. 3. Ekomie J. 10. Windass J. 17. O'Hare C. 19. Moore K.
Substitutes
13. Bilbija F. 33. Blackett-Taylor C. 10. Brewster R. 29. Fraulo O. 19. Meister H. 24. Nyambe R. 12. O'Donnell R. (G) 15. Salvesen L. 27. Travis L.
11. Cadamarteri B. 50. Chesworth S. 15. Dobson G. 30. Imray D. 34. James A. 47. Longman R. 20. Rathbone O. 28. Smith S. 21. Ward D. (G)
Coaches
Eustace J.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Langas S. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Szmodics S. ⚽, Fuseini M. (A),
15', Windass J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Hedges R. 🟨,
64', O'Brien L. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
64', Kabore I. ↓, Imray D. ↑,
71', Rathbone O. 🟨,
72', Fuseini M. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
72', Szmodics S. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
74', Mowatt A. 🟨,
84', Clark B. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
84', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
85', Vyner Z. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
85', Ekomie J. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Rathbone O. ⚽, Moore K. (A),
90+1', Moore K. 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 22nd in the Relegation - League One and 14th).
Recent results have been tough for Derby (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wrexham has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Bilbija F.
(Back Injury)
Clarke M.
(Calf Injury)
Forsyth C.
(Knee Injury)
Meister H.
(Concussion)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wrexham: Broadhead N.
(Thigh Injury)
Cacace L.
(Calf Injury)
Cleworth M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rathbone O.
(Ankle Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomason G.
(Thigh Injury).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Derby has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Derby against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
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Vickers J. (G) 
Langas S. 
Hedges R. 
Fuseini M. 
Szmodics S. 
Vyner Z. 
Hyam D. (C) 
Kabore I. 
Ekomie J. 
Bilbija F. 
Fraulo O. 
Nyambe R. 
Cadamarteri B. 
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