Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	West Ham United		Derby County

	1	X	2
	1.37	5	6.5	Watch
	1.41	5.00	6.75
	1.41	4.57	7.82	Watch
	1.41	5.18	7.79
	1.39	4.98	7.42	Watch
	1.39	5.1	7.25
	1.38	4.85	7.37	Watch
	1.38	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.28)	4.96 ↓ (5.36)	7.24 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
67.9%

Draw
19.1%

Derby County
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

17.5%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Ham United's form might have worsened.

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

West Ham United - Derby County Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: West Ham United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hermansen M. (G) 34. Veltman J. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 30. Scarles O. 20. Bowen J. (C) 14. Mukasa D. 7. Engels A. 10. Solomon M. 9. Piroe J. 11. Castellanos T.	1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 6. Langas S. (C) 28. Sanderson D. 18. Taylor C. 20. Mowatt A. 29. Fraulo O. 26. Hedges R. 11. Szmodics S. 10. Brewster R. 19. Meister H.
Substitutes
35. Austbo E. 18. Boiro A. 58. Golambeckis A. 49. Herrick F. (G) 17. Kante M. 21. Lamadrid K. 5. Morato 61. Orford L. 2. Walker-Peters K.	33. Blackett-Taylor C. 8. Clark B. 16. Fuseini M. 22. Johnston M. 42. Offor R. 4. Ozoh D. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Eustace J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Piroe J. ⚽, Castellanos T. (A),
21', Mowatt A. 🟨,
22', Brewster R. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Fraulo O. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
62', Meister H. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
64', Castellanos T. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
71', Hedges R. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
71', Nyambe R. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
77', Fuseini M. 🟨,
77', Solomon M. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
77', Scarles O. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
86', Mowatt A. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Austbo E. ⚽,
90+1', Mukasa D. ↓, Morato ↑,
90+1', Bowen J. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Kante M. ⚽, Austbo E. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, West Ham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Derby is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, West Ham is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in West Ham: Soucek T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morris C. (Inactive) Murkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Travis L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Derby: Clarke M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, West Ham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Ham: 41.01% Derby: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23:12	11	16
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8:15	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English League Championship
01.09.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Watford - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Southampton - West Ham United	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	West Ham United - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Burnley - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLT
- Derby County
English League Championship
01.09.26	Portsmouth - Derby County	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Derby County - Swansea City	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Derby County - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Charlton Athletic - Derby County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
30.01.23	Derby County - West Ham United	0:2

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