The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers 44.8%
Draw 27.7%
Nottingham Forest 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28.1%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
19%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Queens Park Rangers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.1%
31.9%
17%
Queens Park Rangers - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 24 - 51.1%). Nottingham will win (votes: 8 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 36.8% – 65.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).
QPR has the most likely position - 7 (7%), has project points - 67, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 18 (6.51%), has project points - 57, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches QPR is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nottingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
QPR will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches QPR won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-25.
Including matches at home between the teams QPR won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.