Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Queens Park Rangers		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	2	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2
	3.7	3.45	2.03	Watch
	3.87	3.52	2.02
	3.78	3.49	2	Watch
	3.9	3.5	2
	3.72	3.42	2.01	Watch
	3.7	3.45	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.49)	3.45 ↑ (3.43)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
25.3%

Draw
27.5%

Sunderland
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.7%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	12.1%	66.7%

Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). Sunderland will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. 5. Cook S. (C) 8. Field S. 11. Smyth P. 24. Madsen N. 40. Varane J. 20. Ashby H. 21. Morgan K. 10. Chair I. 18. Celar Z.	21. Moore S. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 8. Browne A. 14. Mundle R. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
25. Andersen L. 33. Aoraha A. 27. Bennie D. 19. Dixon-Bonner E. 23. Hevertton S. 26. Kolli R. 28. Lloyd A. 14. Saito K. 41. Shepperd N. (G)	30. Aleksic M. 24. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 41. Johnson Z. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 16. Noukeu B. (G) 15. Rusyn N. 40. Watson T.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Ashby H. ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bellingham J. 🟥,
63', Mundle R. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
68', Smyth P. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
70', Moore S. 🟨,
78', Celar Z. 🟨,
81', Madsen N. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
90+1', Isidor W. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
90+6', Roberts P. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches QPR won 0.

QPR is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunderland in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in QPR: Colback J. (Leg Injury) Frey M. (Calf Injury) Morrison L. (Muscle Injury) Paal K. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Ankle Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Poveda I. (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Injury) Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Mayenda E. (Knock)

Last 13 head-to-head matches QPR won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams QPR won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
26.10.24	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Derby County - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
26.10.24	Sunderland - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Luton Town - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Hull City - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
01.10.24	Sunderland - Derby County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.03.24	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
16.09.23	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	1:3
14.02.23	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:3
13.08.22	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	2:2
English League Cup
26.10.21	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:1 penalties
English League Championship
10.03.18	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	1:0
14.10.17	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	1:1

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